WootBot


quality posts: 14 Private Messages WootBot

Staff

Time again for another march toward t-shirt doom! Discuss this week's life-or-death struggle for sales supremacy as chronicled on the Reckoning page all week long.

Here's how the Reckoning week runs now: every Tuesday at midnight, we retire the previous week's lowest-selling shirts and launch this here discussion thread. Tuesday around noon we'll post the all-new, all-early Reckoning Recon. On Friday, we'll juice demand and prime the pump with a little weekend reminder post. Finally, on the following Monday, the Day of Reckoning post sounds the last call for the Reckoned shirts. All of those posts will be linked below. Monday night (or Tuesday morning), it starts all over again. The Reckoning, she is a hungry beast...



Quality Posts


WootBot


quality posts: 14 Private Messages WootBot

Staff

Happy WootOff, everybody! Take a minute while you're waiting for some sucker to buy the last vacuum so you can see what's next and visit the Reckoning page, where we've got this week's shirts all lined up and ready to fight for position in the Top 20. Will those three noobs stay high and dry, or will the old timers they kicked down to the Danger Zone be able to bounce back? Only time and your purchases will tell! Here are the standings as of when I copied and pasted this:

  1. Questionable Table of Elements
  2. Four Classmates
  3. The Three Classical States of Matter 
  4. The Binge
  5. Morning Powerup (noob)
  6. Black Knight Coat of (No) Arms
  7. Acquired Taste
  8. Straw, Sticks, & Bricks BBQ
  9. Red Revenge
  10. Life Choices (noob)
  11. Dr. Adorable Love Potion
  12. The Cheese is a Liederkranz
  13. It Came Out Of Nowhere
  14. Nevermore
  15. Scissors, Paper, Rock
  16. Unstealthiest Ninja
  17. Funny Things are Everywhere
  18. In Harmony
  19. The Perfect Moment (noob)
  20. In the Library With the Wrench

THE DANGER ZONE

 

 

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake

Yep, my crystal ball is still a POS (well, at least half the time) ... and I'm probably a (shirt) nerd for doing this.

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake

Congratulations to Patrick Spens - Acquired Taste has made it to the 1/2 year mark, still with solid sales numbers week after week. Indeed, it's the only shirt I know of that got the best seller bragging rights twice - first in its debut week and again in its third week.

Nevermore will definitely pass the 40k mark during the woot-off sale too. And if woot decides to do something spiffy like the white-on-black tote instead of the current black-on-asphalt, it might last even longer. There's slate and silver now - make use of that!

Now to start off the this week's reckoning ...

Legend: (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - baseline sales numbers.
(1) Questionable Table of Elements - 5803
(2) Four Classmates - 6348
(3) The Three Classical States of Matter - 5352
(4) The Binge - 47011
(5) Black Knight Coat of (No) Arms - 4444
(6) Acquired Taste - 15393
(7) Straw, Sticks, & Bricks BBQ - 4117
(8) Red Revenge - 3295
(9) Morning Powerup - 4320
(10) Dr. Adorable Love Potion - 3519
(11) The Cheese is a Liederkranz - 17270
(12) It Came Out Of Nowhere - 31000
(13) Scissors, Paper, Rock - 6091
(14) Nevermore - 39933
(15) Unstealthiest Ninja - 9501
(16) Life Choices - 3349
(17) Funny Things are Everywhere - 5256
(18) In Harmony - 6423
(19) In the Library With the Wrench - 6993
(20) Aztec Sunset - 5669

(21) Seasons - 4322
(22) The Perfect Moment - 2715
(23) Resist - 4058
(24) The Ice Scream - 2106
(25) Bantha-phant - 2083
(26) Sunny Tune - 1208
(27) A BIG Idea - 447

leopoldmozart


quality posts: 7 Private Messages leopoldmozart

"In Harmony" lives! Huzzah! Hang in there, little buddy...

gricomet


quality posts: 35 Private Messages gricomet

Nice to see perfect moment at 21, looks like it will end up getting out of the Danger Zone.

ruthiebaby88


quality posts: 0 Private Messages ruthiebaby88

How does this work exactly? Is the rank based entirely on weekly sales? I'm confused since The Binge is ranked fourth although to the right of the page it is listed as having been the lowest seller of the week with only 1 shirt sold.

Is it a combination of weekly sales and total sales?

grisca


quality posts: 0 Private Messages grisca
ruthiebaby88 wrote:How does this work exactly? Is the rank based entirely on weekly sales? I'm confused since The Binge is ranked fourth although to the right of the page it is listed as having been the lowest seller of the week with only 1 shirt sold.

Is it a combination of weekly sales and total sales?



Lowest sales is since the restart of the reckoning - so 1 hour 50 minutes ago.
It is based on th weekly sales of the past 4 weeks, iirc (minus anything sold during the initial day and any woot-off that might happen9.

PixelPants


quality posts: 63 Private Messages PixelPants
Narfcake wrote:Yep, my crystal ball is still a POS (well, at least half the time) ... and I'm probably a (shirt) nerd for doing this.



Wow, that's one shirt buying achievement that can't be easy to pull off Narfcake. Here, dry the tears of joy with this spare t-shirt I found laying around that has some sort of cephalopod on it.

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake
grisca wrote:Lowest sales is since the restart of the reckoning - so 1 hour 50 minutes ago.
It is based on th weekly sales of the past 4 weeks, iirc (minus anything sold during the initial day and any woot-off that might happen9.



Yup.

It's 4 weeks total, so the sales from this week along with the sales from the past three weeks, then averaged out for a daily sales rate and ranked from that.

(FWIW, all of my posts, past, present, or future, that calculate the DSR is only approximate. While I have the basic formula down, I don't know whether aspects like coupon purchases count in the tally ... and such would be impossible for an outsider like me to track and factor in.)

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake
gricomet wrote:Nice to see perfect moment at 21, looks like it will end up getting out of the Danger Zone.



Yep - it has since escaped, and there are now two Ramy shirts in the danger zone.

PleaseStayTherePleaseStayTherePleaseStayTherePleaseStayThere ^_^

j5


quality posts: 63 Private Messages j5

Narfcake, I worry about you sometimes.

move along

amreli


quality posts: 7 Private Messages amreli
PixelPants wrote:Wow, that's one shirt buying achievement that can't be easy to pull off Narfcake. Here, dry the tears of joy with this spare t-shirt I found laying around that has some sort of cephalopod on it.



I think this needs a Q.P.

But Narfcake, you're definitely a nerd....I don't think you have much of an argument considering the daily posting of sales... :D


grahamcrackercoyote


quality posts: 25 Private Messages grahamcrackercoyote
amreli wrote:I think this needs a Q.P.

But Narfcake, you're definitely a nerd....I don't think you have much of an argument considering the daily posting of sales... :D



I'd bet that the presentage of self-identified nerds that come to Woot is higher than for a lot of sites I'm proud of my nerditude and try to set a good example for all the young nerd dudes and gals at my school.

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake

Yeah, there's no way I can argue that. Sure, I flipped more tails than heads earlier in the day, but then rethinking it ... how often am I first sucker? And so it was like "meh. why not?" ... and so I did.

On another note, I definitely won't be around for the shirt woot-off hour later, so I've taken the liberty to directly link the stats pages here. Someone else please take over the stats reporting at the start and end of the woot-off ... it's absolutely necessary in getting good DSR numbers for the next month.

1. Stats for Questionable Table of Elements
2. Stats for Four Classmates
3. Stats for The Three Classical States of Matter
4. Stats for The Binge
5. Stats for Morning Powerup
6. Stats for Black Knight Coat of (No) Arms
7. Stats for Acquired Taste
8. Stats for Straw, Sticks, & Bricks BBQ
9. Stats for Red Revenge
10. Stats for Dr. Adorable Love Potion
11. Stats for The Cheese is a Liederkranz
12. Stats for Life Choices
13. Stats for It Came Out Of Nowhere
14. Stats for Nevermore
15. Stats for Scissors, Paper, Rock
16. Stats for Unstealthiest Ninja
17. Stats for Funny Things are Everywhere
18. Stats for In Harmony
19. Stats for In the Library With the Wrench
20. Stats for The Perfect Moment
21. Stats for Aztec Sunset
22. Stats for Seasons
23. Stats for Resist
24. Stats for The Ice Scream
25. Stats for Bantha-phant
26. Stats for Sunny Tune
27. Stats for A BIG Idea

Edit: changed "probably" to "definitely".

amreli


quality posts: 7 Private Messages amreli
grahamcrackercoyote wrote:I'd bet that the presentage of self-identified nerds that come to Woot is higher than for a lot of sites I'm proud of my nerditude and try to set a good example for all the young nerd dudes and gals at my school.


I absolutely agree, about all parts (including being proud of my own nerditude...excellent word btw).

Narfcake wrote:Yeah, there's no way I can argue that. Sure, I flipped more tails than heads earlier in the day, but then rethinking it ... how often am I first sucker? And so it was like "meh. why not?" ... and so I did.


I think it's really neat and as grahamcrackercoyote mentioned, the nerd population density at woot is rather high.


Assassin15


quality posts: 161 Private Messages Assassin15
Narfcake wrote:Someone else please take over the stats reporting at the start and end of the woot-off ... it's absolutely necessary in getting good DSR numbers for the next month.

1. Stats for Questionable Table of Elements
etc.



How did you get those salestats urls?

PULL UP YOUR SKIRT, WE'RE ON A MISSION/
WE NEED A HERO, NOT A POLITICIAN - "Panhammer" by Phinehas

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake
Assassin15 wrote:How did you get those salestats urls?



The javascript that redirects to it is in the page's html. So I just had to remove it from its context and paste in the shirt.woot.com/ portion.

citizencoyote


quality posts: 42 Private Messages citizencoyote

Is it just me or is there no shirt woot-off going on right now?

j5


quality posts: 63 Private Messages j5
citizencoyote wrote:Is it just me or is there no shirt woot-off going on right now?



Not yet.....wait for it.

move along

gement


quality posts: 7 Private Messages gement

INCOMING!

Anyone get the numbers?

eta: due to having a day job I can't grab the full set, but some figures of interest...

17 Funny 5268
18 Harmony 6446
19 Perfect 2733
20 Wrench 7017
21 Sunset 5689
22 Seasons 4340
23 Resist 4071

Assassin15


quality posts: 161 Private Messages Assassin15
gement wrote:INCOMING!

Anyone get the numbers?



Yeah I just got the sales numbers, nothing else...

Loading... please wait...

PULL UP YOUR SKIRT, WE'RE ON A MISSION/
WE NEED A HERO, NOT A POLITICIAN - "Panhammer" by Phinehas

Assassin15


quality posts: 161 Private Messages Assassin15

Numbers at start of Reckoning sale are as follows:

(1) Questionable Table of Elements - 5886
(2) Four Classmates - 6385
(3) The Three Classical States of Matter - 5386
(4) The Binge - 47034
(5) Morning Powerup - 4371
(6) Black Knight Coat of (No) Arms - 4453
(7) Acquired Taste - 15412
(8) Straw, Sticks, & Bricks BBQ - 4143
(9) Red Revenge - 3308
(10) Life Choices - 3386
(11) Dr. Adorable Love Potion - 3530
(12) The Cheese is a Liederkranz - 17285
(13) It Came out of Nowhere - 31026
(14) Nevermore - 39955
(15) Scissors, Paper, Rock - 6104
(16) Unstealthiest Ninja - 9509
(17) Funny Things are Everywhere - 5265
(18) In Harmony - 6444
(19) The Perfect Moment - 2732
(20) In the Library With the Wrench - 7009

(21) Aztec Sunset - 5686
(22) Seasons - 4339
(23) Resist - 4067
(24) The Ice Scream - 2115
(25) Bantha-phant - 2097
(26) Sunny Tune - 1215
(27) A BIG Idea - 448

I wouldn't bet my life on their being 100% accurate, but that's what I got.

PULL UP YOUR SKIRT, WE'RE ON A MISSION/
WE NEED A HERO, NOT A POLITICIAN - "Panhammer" by Phinehas

citizencoyote


quality posts: 42 Private Messages citizencoyote
j5 wrote:Not yet.....wait for it.



Oh right, 1-2 Central not 12-1.

citizencoyote


quality posts: 42 Private Messages citizencoyote
Assassin15 wrote:
I wouldn't bet my life on their being 100% accurate, but that's what I got.



Good enough for Narfcake one would hope!

Assassin15


quality posts: 161 Private Messages Assassin15

Well, Nevermore finally hit 40,000. Maybe it will be kind enough to commit suicide after hitting this milestone.

PULL UP YOUR SKIRT, WE'RE ON A MISSION/
WE NEED A HERO, NOT A POLITICIAN - "Panhammer" by Phinehas

j5


quality posts: 63 Private Messages j5
citizencoyote wrote:Oh right, 1-2 Central not 12-1.



± a few minutes for a soft start from some predetermined woot-off item.

move along

Assassin15


quality posts: 161 Private Messages Assassin15

At the end of it all, we have:

(1) Questionable Table of Elements - 6364
(2) Four Classmates - 6629
(3) The Three Classical States of Matter - 5683
(4) The Binge - 47470
(5) Morning Powerup - 4654
(6) Black Knight Coat of (No) Arms - 4586
(7) Acquired Taste - 15664
(8) Straw, Sticks, & Bricks BBQ - 4378
(9) Red Revenge - 3422
(10) Life Choices - 3561
(11) Dr. Adorable Love Potion - 3647
(12) The Cheese is a Liederkranz - 17505
(13) It Came out of Nowhere - 31268
(14) Nevermore - 40196
(15) Scissors, Paper, Rock - 6262
(16) Unstealthiest Ninja - 9690
(17) Funny Things are Everywhere - 5405
(18) In Harmony - 6611
(19) The Perfect Moment - 2835
(20) In the Library With the Wrench - 7157

(21) Aztec Sunset - 5824
(22) Seasons - 4449
(23) Resist - 4158
(24) The Ice Scream - 2163
(25) Bantha-phant - 2144
(26) Sunny Tune - 1258
(27) A BIG Idea - 459

Hope that's what you wanted, Narf...

PULL UP YOUR SKIRT, WE'RE ON A MISSION/
WE NEED A HERO, NOT A POLITICIAN - "Panhammer" by Phinehas

debragr


quality posts: 3 Private Messages debragr
Assassin15 wrote:Well, Nevermore finally hit 40,000. Maybe it will be kind enough to commit suicide after hitting this milestone.



An assassin suggesting suicide? What's wrong with this picture?

rkenimer


quality posts: 3 Private Messages rkenimer

I'm pretty sure ramyb isn't a noob, so what's with the yellow noob designation next to his 'Morning Powerup' shirt?

EDIT: filters ftw

Apparently it's fashionable to have a signature.

debragr


quality posts: 3 Private Messages debragr
rkenimer wrote:I'm pretty sure ramyb isn't a noob, so what's with the yellow noob designation next to his 'Morning Powerup' shirt?

EDIT: filters ftw



As used in the reckoning, it refers to the shirt design and not to the artist.

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake
Assassin15 wrote:Hope that's what you wanted, Narf...



Yep - THANK YOU! The thing is, this isn't so much just for my own curiosity, but for all the artists too, that there's verifiable evidence that Woot's rankings/calculations are what they should be. We don't need a repeat of what happened with Four Seasons In One Day, y'know.

Will my calculations ever be 100% perfect? Nope. Will they be close enough to gauge whereabout a shirt's rank should be? Yep.

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake

Anyone else notice that today's (Tuesday) reckoning recon posting by the WootBot was ninja posted with Monday's date? And that the WootBot must hate 26th and 27th place so much that they were excluded from the list ...

grahamcrackercoyote


quality posts: 25 Private Messages grahamcrackercoyote
Narfcake wrote:Anyone else notice that today's (Tuesday) reckoning recon posting by the WootBot was ninja posted with Monday's date? And that the WootBot must hate 26th and 27th place so much that they were excluded from the list ...



We need to have an intervention for WootBot - missing work, unsure of the date, etc. - sounds like a substance abuse prob to me.

inkycatz


quality posts: 105 Private Messages inkycatz
grahamcrackercoyote wrote:We need to have an intervention for WootBot - missing work, unsure of the date, etc. - sounds like a substance abuse prob to me.



It could be stress. Maybe he needs a reboot!

I'm just hanging out, really.

grahamcrackercoyote


quality posts: 25 Private Messages grahamcrackercoyote

Just dumped a bunch of $ on the Back-To-School sale - good thing I did my actual back to school shopping [new school clothes!] before the cruise.

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake
grahamcrackercoyote wrote:We need to have an intervention for WootBot - missing work, unsure of the date, etc. - sounds like a substance abuse prob to me.



This.

kevlar51


quality posts: 36 Private Messages kevlar51
inkycatz wrote:It could be stress. Maybe he needs a reboot!



Someone just needs to turn his wind key

Narfcake


quality posts: 239 Private Messages Narfcake

As this point, three non-noobs will sink come Monday. That's probably the most we can expect, though. There have definitely been more strong sellers in recent months, and nowadays a daily sales rate of 18-20 is more likely necessary for survival than the 15 it was in the past.

Legend: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting . Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers.

1 (1) Questionable Table of Elements - (+654) to 6457 (+176 w/o W-O sales)
2 (2) Four Classmates - (+330) to 6678 (+86 w/o W-O sales)
3 (3) The Three Classical States of Matter - (+378) to 5730 (+81 w/o W-O sales)
4 (4) The Binge - (+517) to 47528 (+81 w/o W-O sales)
5 (9) Morning Powerup - (+386) to 4706 (+103 w/o W-O sales)
6 (16) Life Choices - (+256) to 3605 (+81 w/o W-O sales)
7 (6) Acquired Taste - (+308) to 15701 (+56 w/o W-O sales)
8 (5) Black Knight Coat of (No) Arms - (+157) to 4601 (+24 w/o W-O sales)
9 (7) Straw, Sticks, & Bricks BBQ - (+295) to 4412 (+60 w/o W-O sales)
10 (8) Red Revenge - (+141) to 3436 (+27 w/o W-O sales)
11 (10) Dr. Adorable Love Potion - (+161) to 3680 (+44 w/o W-O sales)
12 (11) The Cheese is a Liederkranz - (+266) to 17536 (+46 w/o W-O sales)
13 (12) It Came Out Of Nowhere - (+308) to 31308 (+66 w/o W-O sales)
14 (14) Nevermore - (+298) to 40231 (+57 w/o W-O sales)
15 (13) Scissors, Paper, Rock - (+194) to 6285 (+36 w/o W-O sales)
16 (15) Unstealthiest Ninja - (+209) to 9710 (+28 w/o W-O sales)
17 (22) The Perfect Moment - (+137) to 2852 (+34 w/o W-O sales)
18 (17) Funny Things are Everywhere - (+161) to 5417 (+21 w/o W-O sales)
19 (18) In Harmony - (+214) to 6637 (+47 w/o W-O sales)
20 (20) Aztec Sunset - (+181) to 5850 (+43 w/o W-O sales)

21 (19) In the Library With the Wrench - (+180) to 7173 (+32 w/o W-O sales)
22 (21) Seasons - (+144) to 4466 (+34 w/o W-O sales)
23 (23) Resist - (+124) to 4182 (+33 w/o W-O sales)
24 (24) The Ice Scream - (+67) to 2173 (+19 w/o W-O sales)
25 (25) Bantha-phant - (+67) to 2150 (+20 w/o W-O sales)
26 (26) Sunny Tune - (+56) to 1264 (+13 w/o W-O sales)
27 (27) A BIG Idea - (+16) to 463 (+5 w/o W-O sales)

lightyourworld22


quality posts: 0 Private Messages lightyourworld22

What's a woot-off?