WootBot


quality posts: 14 Private Messages WootBot

Staff

Time again for another march toward t-shirt doom! Discuss this week's life-or-death struggle for sales supremacy as chronicled on the Reckoning page all week long.

Here's how the Reckoning week runs now: every Tuesday at midnight, we retire the previous week's lowest-selling shirts and launch this here discussion thread. Tuesday around noon we'll post the all-new, all-early Reckoning Recon. On Friday, we'll juice demand and prime the pump with a little weekend reminder post. Finally, on the following Monday, the Day of Reckoning post sounds the last call for the Reckoned shirts. All of those posts will be linked below. Monday night (or Tuesday morning), it starts all over again. The Reckoning, she is a hungry beast...



Quality Posts


Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake

Yay, WootBot showed up for work!

Legend: (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - baseline sales numbers.
(1) Hungry Hungry Games - 4528
(2) Read - 4369
(3) Shhhhhhh - 10944
(4) Casual Friday - 4551
(5) Lucky at last - 8433
(6) 1971-Floppy Diskette - 8144
(7) After All This Time - 2642
(8) ProCATStination - 3342
(9) They’re too Short - 2671
(10) Curiosity - 3361
(11) The Start of Spring - 2584
(12) WET||SLIPPERY WHEN - 4506
(13) The Binge - 56964
(14) Critical Hit - 2725
(15) Family Breakfast - 14164
(16) Nevermore - 47337
(17) Lucky Pig - 2782
(18) They See Me Rollin' - 5117
(19) Family Portrait - 4874
(20) Nyan's Dream - 4069
(21) Pirate (space)ship - 2139
(22) Not Like The Others… - 3223
(23) My Morning Sidekick - 1960
(24) Hang In There - 1274
(25) Free Hugs - 985
(26) Honest Packaging - 1135
(27) BLT: Together Forever - 801
(91) Honey Badger Cares - 2335


Daily Sales Rates are for informational purposes only and are not 100% accurate.
1. Hungry Hungry Games - Approx. 83.74 real time DSR; 52.63 Woot-based DSR
2. Read - Approx. 47.81 real time DSR; 33.35 Woot-based DSR
3. Shhhhhhh - Approx. 38.61 real time DSR; 29.64 Woot-based DSR
4. Casual Friday - Approx. 61.02 real time DSR; 29.28 Woot-based DSR
5. Lucky at last - Approx. 34.75 real time DSR; 26.68 Woot-based DSR
6. 1971-Floppy Diskette - Approx. 32.51 real time DSR; 24.96 Woot-based DSR
7. After All This Time - Approx. 31.94 real time DSR; 22.71 Woot-based DSR
8. ProCATStination - Approx. 33.39 real time DSR; 22.26 Woot-based DSR
9. They’re too Short - Approx. 28.51 real time DSR; 21.89 Woot-based DSR
10. Curiosity - Approx. 28.53 real time DSR; 20.64 Woot-based DSR
11. The Start of Spring - Approx. 36.26 real time DSR; 20 Woot-based DSR
12. WET||SLIPPERY WHEN - Approx. 25.58 real time DSR; 19.64 Woot-based DSR
13. The Binge - Approx. 25.44 real time DSR; 19.54 Woot-based DSR
14. Critical Hit - Approx. 25.78 real time DSR; 18.94 Woot-based DSR
15. Family Breakfast - Approx. 22.47 real time DSR; 17.25 Woot-based DSR
16. Nevermore - Approx. 20.79 real time DSR; 15.96 Woot-based DSR
17. Lucky Pig - Approx. 110.23 real time DSR; 14.67 Woot-based DSR
18. They See Me Rollin' - Approx. 18.56 real time DSR; 14.25 Woot-based DSR
19. Family Portrait - Approx. 18.23 real time DSR; 14 Woot-based DSR
20. Nyan's Dream - Approx. 17.35 real time DSR; 13.32 Woot-based DSR
21. Pirate (space)ship - Approx. 16.42 real time DSR; 12.61 Woot-based DSR
22. Not Like The Others… - Approx. 15.07 real time DSR; 11.57 Woot-based DSR
23. My Morning Sidekick - Approx. 37.03 real time DSR; 11.68 Woot-based DSR
24. Hang In There - Approx. 20.58 real time DSR; 10.67 Woot-based DSR
25. Free Hugs - Approx. 20.26 real time DSR; 7.71 Woot-based DSR
26. Honest Packaging - Approx. 25.03 real time DSR; 5.88 Woot-based DSR
27. BLT: Together Forever - Approx. 10.8 real time DSR; 4.7 Woot-based DSR

quabaq


quality posts: 4 Private Messages quabaq
Narfcake wrote:Stats



If those numbers keep going at those rates, the bird could be in trouble this week.

Spiritgreen


quality posts: 215 Private Messages Spiritgreen

Go piggy, go piggy, go!

The legs on this little guy have really surprised me. Especially since he technically doesn't have any. :^)

Weezknight


quality posts: 2 Private Messages Weezknight
quabaq wrote:If those numbers keep going at those rates, the bird could be in trouble this week.



Well it has now officially survived 4 years, so now seems like a good time to bow out.

citizencoyote


quality posts: 42 Private Messages citizencoyote
Weezknight wrote:Well it has now officially survived 4 years, so now seems like a good time to bow out.



Agreed. If that bird was any moldier we could grow some penicillin. Of course, we've all now violated the First Rule of the Reckoning, thus guaranteeing its survival for at least another couple weeks.

Unrelated, I'm very excited that You Have to Try This Guys is available again for a week! I was always sad I missed this one, and was envious of a friend who owned it. Doubly so since I also procrastinated on Meatatarian and it was Reckoned out from under me.

omarfeliciano


quality posts: 34 Private Messages omarfeliciano
Spiritgreen wrote:Go piggy, go piggy, go!

The legs on this little guy have really surprised me. Especially since he technically doesn't have any. :^)



It's an awesome design Spirit. I really thought it was going to win 1st place. I'll buy one as soon as I receive my next pay check

Spiritgreen


quality posts: 215 Private Messages Spiritgreen
omarfeliciano wrote:It's an awesome design Spirit. I really thought it was going to win 1st place. I'll buy one as soon as I receive my next pay check



Hey! Thanks Omar. :^)

cmillard1


quality posts: 6 Private Messages cmillard1
quabaq wrote:If those numbers keep going at those rates, the bird could be in trouble this week.



Possible, but very unlikely. I really only see My Morning Sidekick making it through.

WootBot


quality posts: 14 Private Messages WootBot

Staff

April's here, can you believe it? Seems like just last week we were buying Christmas presents and now the year's a third of the way over already. Yeesh. Speaking of over, some shirts' lives could be over by the end of the week if you don't help 'em out by purchasing one. Here are the Reckoning standings as of when I copied and pasted this:

  1. Hungry Hungry Games 
  2. Read
  3. Casual Friday (noob)
  4. Shhhhhhh
  5. Lucky at Last 
  6. 1971-Floppy Diskette
  7. ProCATStination
  8. After All This Time
  9. They're too short
  10. Curiosity
  11. The Start of Spring
  12. WET||SLIPPERY WHEN
  13. The Binge
  14. Critical Hit
  15. Lucky Pig (noob)
  16. Family Breakfast
  17. Nevermore
  18. They See Me Rollin'
  19. Family Portrait
  20. Nyan's Dream

    The Danger Zone

 

rockymike


quality posts: 16 Private Messages rockymike

It's odd to see Ochopika, Ramy, and Do0omcat in the bottom three.

Yeah, so there's that...

neuropsychosocial


quality posts: 171 Private Messages neuropsychosocial

Monday AA Reckoning Update:

Shirts listed as printed on AA:
- Hungry, Hungry Games (kids)
- 1971 (all sizes)
- ProCATSination (women)
- They're Too Short (men) [exception: at least one 2XL on Anvil]
- Lucky Pig (all sizes)
- The Start of Spring (all sizes)
- Binge (all sizes)
- Family Breakfast (all sizes)
- Da Bird (all sizes)
- Family Portrait (men, women)
- Nyan's Dream (men) [CHANGE: kids listed as Anvil, no longer AA]
- Hang in There (kids)
- Free Hugs (men, women)
- Honest Packaging (men, women)
*********
- Honey Badger Cares (kids)
- Really Scary Xenophile (kids)
- Artichokey (all)
- The Formula for Success (men, women)
- Air Quoth (men)
- I Love Cats (men, women)

Cage Match short-sleeve t-shirts:
- Bun Bun (men)
- Cooler than You (kids)
- Easter Bunny (all)
- Emperor Penguin (all)
- In Addition to Your Radishes (all)
- Killer Penguin (men, women)
- Listen to Your Conscience (men)
- One Flight per Customer (all)
- Slow and Steady (kids)
- The Aviator (kids)
- Upon Closer Inspection (kids)

RIP A.A. Blanks (Obituary)

Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake

One night, and this is how they look:

Legend: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting. Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers. DSR are for informational purposes only and not 100% accurate.
1 (1) Hungry Hungry Games - (+61) to 4589. Approx. 81.78 real time DSR; 56.11 Woot-based DSR
2 (2) Read - (+30) to 4399. Approx. 46.67 real time DSR; 34.74 Woot-based DSR
3 (4) Casual Friday - (+59) to 4610. Approx. 60.65 real time DSR; 34 Woot-based DSR
4 (3) Shhhhhhh - (+45) to 10989. Approx. 38.88 real time DSR; 31.25 Woot-based DSR
5 (5) Lucky at last - (+16) to 8449. Approx. 33.9 real time DSR; 27.25 Woot-based DSR
6 (6) 1971-Floppy Diskette - (+32) to 8176. Approx. 32.48 real time DSR; 26.11 Woot-based DSR
7 (8) ProCATStination - (+28) to 3370. Approx. 32.98 real time DSR; 23.69 Woot-based DSR
8 (7) After All This Time - (+11) to 2653. Approx. 30.69 real time DSR; 23.2 Woot-based DSR
9 (9) They’re too Short - (+20) to 2691. Approx. 28.12 real time DSR; 22.61 Woot-based DSR
10 (17) Lucky Pig - (+60) to 2842. Approx. 84.68 real time DSR; 22.67 Woot-based DSR
11 (10) Curiosity - (+20) to 3381. Approx. 28.04 real time DSR; 21.49 Woot-based DSR
12 (11) The Start of Spring - (+25) to 2609. Approx. 34.97 real time DSR; 21.72 Woot-based DSR
13 (12) WET||SLIPPERY WHEN - (+21) to 4527. Approx. 25.37 real time DSR; 20.39 Woot-based DSR
14 (13) The Binge - (+20) to 56984. Approx. 25.19 real time DSR; 20.25 Woot-based DSR
15 (14) Critical Hit - (+6) to 2731. Approx. 24.73 real time DSR; 19.18 Woot-based DSR
16 (15) Family Breakfast - (+29) to 14193. Approx. 22.75 real time DSR; 18.29 Woot-based DSR
17 (16) Nevermore - (+18) to 47355. Approx. 20.66 real time DSR; 16.61 Woot-based DSR
18 (18) They See Me Rollin' - (+17) to 5134. Approx. 18.48 real time DSR; 14.86 Woot-based DSR
19 (19) Family Portrait - (+18) to 4892. Approx. 18.22 real time DSR; 14.64 Woot-based DSR
20 (20) Nyan's Dream - (+21) to 4090. Approx. 17.51 real time DSR; 14.07 Woot-based DSR
21 (23) My Morning Sidekick - (+21) to 1981. Approx. 32.94 real time DSR; 13.89 Woot-based DSR
22 (21) Pirate (space)ship - (+24) to 2163. Approx. 16.75 real time DSR; 13.46 Woot-based DSR
23 (22) Not Like The Others… - (+31) to 3254. Approx. 15.77 real time DSR; 12.68 Woot-based DSR
24 (24) Hang In There - (+21) to 1295. Approx. 20.61 real time DSR; 12.22 Woot-based DSR
25 (25) Free Hugs - (+15) to 1000. Approx. 19.17 real time DSR; 9.14 Woot-based DSR
26 (26) Honest Packaging - (+18) to 1153. Approx. 22.61 real time DSR; 8 Woot-based DSR
27 (27) BLT: Together Forever - (+11) to 812. Approx. 10.82 real time DSR; 5.65 Woot-based DSR
91 (91) Honey Badger Cares - (+90) to 2425. Approx. 89.32 real time DSR; n/a Woot-based DSR
92 (92) Xenophile - 2731.

My Morning Sidekick will escape, but that's probably it for the shirts in the danger zone.

tercathian


quality posts: 3 Private Messages tercathian
and now the year's a third of the way over already



Only 3 months of the year have passed, so it's only a quarter done, not a third.

Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake
tercathian wrote:Only 3 months of the year have passed, so it's only a quarter done, not a third.



Computing error. This explains a lot about WootBot, really.

chickypeas


quality posts: 5 Private Messages chickypeas
Narfcake wrote:One night, and this is how they look:
My Morning Sidekick will escape, but that's probably it for the shirts in the danger zone.



Sad I was hoping my Hang in There kitty would make it a little further. What does the DSR stuff stand for? I'm newish to shirt.woot so I don't know what to make of it.

tecker


quality posts: 1 Private Messages tecker

Daily Sales Rate. I think it is an approximation of how many shirts per day sold in the last week. A shirt with a high DSR could indicate that it will rise in the ranks as it is selling more this week.

Money can buy happiness. Toys bring joy. It just doesn't last long. That's why we have Woot!

amhi


quality posts: 1 Private Messages amhi

Nevermore, Happy 4th Birthday. Glad you made it.

aerc712


quality posts: 4 Private Messages aerc712
amhi wrote:Nevermore, Happy 4th Birthday. Glad you made it.



Almost time for kindergarten/the retirement home.

chennai8


quality posts: 2 Private Messages chennai8
rockymike wrote:It's odd to see Ochopika, Ramy, and Do0omcat in the bottom three.



Don't worry. RamyB will put another new tee next week there.

neyfam2000 wrote:Woot!--going from "Deal-a-day" to "Site-a-day"

Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake
tecker wrote:Daily Sales Rate. I think it is an approximation of how many shirts per day sold in the last week. A shirt with a high DSR could indicate that it will rise in the ranks as it is selling more this week.



Correct. Woot determines the ranking by a shirt's daily sales. However, one can't tell how well a shirt is (or is not) doing by that alone, hence where the numbers, the nightly tracking, and the math comes into play.

citizencoyote


quality posts: 42 Private Messages citizencoyote
chickypeas wrote:Sad I was hoping my Hang in There kitty would make it a little further. What does the DSR stuff stand for? I'm newish to shirt.woot so I don't know what to make of it.



To expand on what Tecker and Narfcake said, the real-time DSR is a measurement of a shirt's performance up to the time it's posted. The Woot DSR is an estimate of Woot's sales tracking, and includes future days. As the week progresses toward the Monday Reckoning, those two numbers will get closer together.

A high real-time DSR is good, but can be misleading as it only takes into account the days the shirt has been on sale and thus for new shirts is front-loaded from debut day. If a shirt does not sell well in the days following debut, its real-time DSR will plummet. However, since it's the Woot DSR that ultimately matters, borderline shirts will often rise on Sunday/Monday morning as their sales are finally included in the Woot DSR.

Did I confuse you enough? TL;DR version: where your shirt is now is not necessarily indicative of where it will end up on Monday. Based on its sales numbers, however, it will need to pick up the pace to escape. So go promote it!

ochopika


quality posts: 26 Private Messages ochopika

Staff

rockymike wrote:It's odd to see Ochopika, Ramy, and Do0omcat in the bottom three.



uhhh yea..heh heh... that must be some kind of error on the site. Yea, that's it. Go fix it, woot!

chickypeas


quality posts: 5 Private Messages chickypeas
citizencoyote wrote:To expand on what Tecker and Narfcake said, the real-time DSR is a measurement of a shirt's performance up to the time it's posted. The Woot DSR is an estimate of Woot's sales tracking, and includes future days. As the week progresses toward the Monday Reckoning, those two numbers will get closer together.

A high real-time DSR is good, but can be misleading as it only takes into account the days the shirt has been on sale and thus for new shirts is front-loaded from debut day. If a shirt does not sell well in the days following debut, its real-time DSR will plummet. However, since it's the Woot DSR that ultimately matters, borderline shirts will often rise on Sunday/Monday morning as their sales are finally included in the Woot DSR.

Did I confuse you enough? TL;DR version: where your shirt is now is not necessarily indicative of where it will end up on Monday. Based on its sales numbers, however, it will need to pick up the pace to escape. So go promote it!



Thanks that was helpful! And not too confusing. I need to get a blog or something, I'm new to this game so I'm not good at the whole promoting thing heh. I mostly do freelance graphic design work but really want to start submitting more designs to shirt.woot.

rockymike


quality posts: 16 Private Messages rockymike

People talk about how there tends to be a lot of kitties and turtles and ninjas employed on Woot shirts, but I've noticed another trend that I like to call "Happy Closed Eyes."

Nine shirts in The Reckoning currently have this style somewhere on their design, as well as Honey Badger in the Bystanders.

In comparison, there only seven shirts of cats, turtles and ninjas combined.

I'm not complaining, it's just an interesting fact I noticed.

(I counted Hungry Hungry games as one. Even though they aren't happy eyes, they are still the same style nonetheless)

Yeah, so there's that...

cmillard1


quality posts: 6 Private Messages cmillard1
chickypeas wrote:Thanks that was helpful! And not too confusing. I need to get a blog or something, I'm new to this game so I'm not good at the whole promoting thing heh. I mostly do freelance graphic design work but really want to start submitting more designs to shirt.woot.



I'd also like to add that Woot! uses the "Woot! based DSR" to avoid situations where new shirts have high initial DSR's and then plummet (okay, this was mentioned above, but...). People might think a shirt is safe and then not buy it only to see it Reckoned.

Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake

Congratulations on Nevermore for hitting the 4 year mark!


Legend: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting. Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers. DSR are for informational purposes only and not 100% accurate.
1 (1) Hungry Hungry Games - (+110) to 4638. Approx. 79.3 real time DSR; 58.91 Woot-based DSR
2 (2) Read - (+63) to 4432. Approx. 45.88 real time DSR; 36.28 Woot-based DSR
3 (4) Casual Friday - (+93) to 4644. Approx. 57.37 real time DSR; 36.72 Woot-based DSR
4 (3) Shhhhhhh - (+86) to 11030. Approx. 38.98 real time DSR; 32.71 Woot-based DSR
5 (17) Lucky Pig - (+107) to 2889. Approx. 72.32 real time DSR; 28.93 Woot-based DSR
6 (5) Lucky at last - (+29) to 8462. Approx. 33.02 real time DSR; 27.71 Woot-based DSR
7 (6) 1971-Floppy Diskette - (+56) to 8200. Approx. 32.13 real time DSR; 26.96 Woot-based DSR
8 (8) ProCATStination - (+51) to 3393. Approx. 32.33 real time DSR; 24.87 Woot-based DSR
9 (7) After All This Time - (+30) to 2672. Approx. 30.05 real time DSR; 24.04 Woot-based DSR
10 (9) They’re too Short - (+41) to 2712. Approx. 27.83 real time DSR; 23.36 Woot-based DSR
11 (11) The Start of Spring - (+42) to 2626. Approx. 33.2 real time DSR; 22.9 Woot-based DSR
12 (10) Curiosity - (+37) to 3398. Approx. 27.47 real time DSR; 22.21 Woot-based DSR
13 (13) The Binge - (+43) to 57007. Approx. 25.11 real time DSR; 21.07 Woot-based DSR
14 (12) WET||SLIPPERY WHEN - (+32) to 4538. Approx. 24.77 real time DSR; 20.79 Woot-based DSR
15 (14) Critical Hit - (+19) to 2744. Approx. 24.15 real time DSR; 19.71 Woot-based DSR
16 (15) Family Breakfast - (+49) to 14213. Approx. 22.64 real time DSR; 19 Woot-based DSR
17 (16) Nevermore - (+45) to 47382. Approx. 20.94 real time DSR; 17.57 Woot-based DSR
18 (18) They See Me Rollin' - (+46) to 5163. Approx. 18.94 real time DSR; 15.89 Woot-based DSR
19 (23) My Morning Sidekick - (+42) to 2002. Approx. 30.6 real time DSR; 16.11 Woot-based DSR
20 (19) Family Portrait - (+32) to 4906. Approx. 18.04 real time DSR; 15.14 Woot-based DSR
21 (20) Nyan's Dream - (+45) to 4114. Approx. 17.79 real time DSR; 14.93 Woot-based DSR
22 (21) Pirate (space)ship - (+29) to 2168. Approx. 16.25 real time DSR; 13.64 Woot-based DSR
23 (22) Not Like The Others… - (+48) to 3271. Approx. 15.83 real time DSR; 13.29 Woot-based DSR
24 (24) Hang In There - (+35) to 1309. Approx. 19.89 real time DSR; 13.26 Woot-based DSR
25 (25) Free Hugs - (+22) to 1007. Approx. 17.16 real time DSR; 9.81 Woot-based DSR
26 (26) Honest Packaging - (+32) to 1167. Approx. 20.5 real time DSR; 9.65 Woot-based DSR
27 (27) BLT: Together Forever - (+15) to 816. Approx. 9.86 real time DSR; 6 Woot-based DSR
91 (91) Honey Badger Cares - (+122) to 2457. Approx. 60.98 real time DSR; n/a Woot-based DSR
92 (92) Xenophile - (+118) to 2849. Approx. 117.92 real time DSR; n/a Woot-based DSR
93 (93) Artichokey - 2575.

ArdillaCiega


quality posts: 7 Private Messages ArdillaCiega
rockymike wrote:It's odd to see Ochopika, Ramy, and Do0omcat in the bottom three.



What's even odder is to see patrickspens' only shirt in the Danger Zone. Next week could be the first since week 135 that there are no shirts from him available in the Reckoning.

Even a blind squirrel is right twice a day.

caramelarrow


quality posts: 14 Private Messages caramelarrow

Copied from the Nevermore Discussion Page:

haxrox wrote:4 years! I know this isn’t the place for personal stories or serious stuff, but....

(If you are interested in the artist's story please go there to read it all.)

caramelarrow wrote:Thank you for sharing your story with us. It's quite a powerful one. May you and your family continue to enjoy the unexpected blessings of life!

I love my shirt. I wish I had gotten the long sleeve or hoodie and I will if they are ever offered again. Knowing the "back story" makes me want them even more.

Happy 4th Birthday NEVERMORE!!! May you always live on (and be for sale) in the Hamper of Fame!!!!!!



07/11/14

bounty42


quality posts: 15 Private Messages bounty42
cmillard1 wrote:I'd also like to add that Woot! uses the "Woot! based DSR" to avoid situations where new shirts have high initial DSR's and then plummet (okay, this was mentioned above, but...). People might think a shirt is safe and then not buy it only to see it Reckoned.



Imma gonna disagree here.

I've been tracking Deltas on and off, that is the CHANGE in the DSR, and Narf's RealTime is Actually really accurate for ending position, barring last minute jockying.

See Narf's RT-DSR doesn't Take into account Opening Day, it only counts sales after midnight on Debut. And while this is a much smaller pool of days for Newbs (less than 14, typically 5-10) the numbers are still PURE. If you've got an RT-DSR of 20.35 your DSR at Close will be about 20.

Here's an example of the difference
A Friday Shirt sells exactly 2 shirts every hour. On Thursday at Midnight Narf pulls numbers. The shirt has 48 sales for Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, for 240 Sales.
DSR is Sales/Days so:
RealTime DSR = 240/5 = 48
WOOT DSR = 240/9.5 = 25.26

Here's the Catch -- the shirt keeps selling 2 shirts an hour, so Every time we look at RT-DSR, it's ALWAYS 48, but the Woot will be climbing 25.26, 30.32, 35.67,40.42... until at close (noon monday) both equasions look like:

456/9.5 = 48 DSR

Now, going back to what I initally said "barring last minute jockying" my tests show that my method is accurate 6 days a week. Mondays are HELL on my equasions. This is because people aren't buying in normal patterns, they're buying in frenzy patterns. Also, position on the list is real variable, but it's only felt in a very small range (19-22) and then it's a measurments of single shirts, not big units.

So, tl;dr - Order shirts by RT-DSR and you're looking at closing position for 1-17 and 23-25.



Numquam minoris aestimo potentia stultis, maxime in magna coetus
------------------------------------
■(1:40 PM, 7/27/2012) bounty42 quips, "Forget Guest Editor, what we need is a Guest Rejectionator."
■(10:40 AM, 6/21/2012 ) bounty42 inquires, "Is it just me, or do we not typically get this many Editors Choice shirts?"
■(2:02 PM, 6/15/2012) bounty42 runs numbers.
■(10:40 AM, 6/7/2012) bounty42 dispenses wisdom for all those 'too late' naysayers, "A woot shirt is never late, nor is it early, it arrives precisely when it means to."
■(3:20 PM, 5/18/2012) bounty42 states, "The turtle is very cute, and I love the smug look he's got."

rockymike


quality posts: 16 Private Messages rockymike
caramelarrow wrote:Copied from the Nevermore Discussion Page:



Suddenly I don't hate it anymore.

Yeah, so there's that...

Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake
rockymike wrote:Suddenly I don't hate it anymore.



Ditto. It was very touching, and definitely ranks up there with how these shirts and designs have impacted people's lives.

(The thing is, Nevermore worked on reverse psychology - the more folks ranted about it, the better it sold.)

Disclaimer: I bought the hoodie, but the black-on-asphalt shirt... meh. Even though I have a copy of that too.

escapecar


quality posts: 16 Private Messages escapecar

Still can't say I like the shirt.

But I am touched by the story.

ljwilke


quality posts: 0 Private Messages ljwilke
neuropsychosocial wrote:Tuesday AA Reckoning Update:

Shirts listed as printed on AA:
- Hungry, Hungry Games (kids)
- 1971 (all sizes)
- ProCATSination (women)
- They're Too Short (men)
- Lucky Pig (all sizes)
- The Start of Spring (all sizes)
- Binge (all sizes)
- Family Breakfast (all sizes)
- Da Bird (all sizes)
- Family Portrait (men, women)
- Nyan's Dream (men) [CHANGE: kids listed as Anvil, no longer AA]
- Hang in There (kids)
- Free Hugs (men, women)
- Honest Packaging (men, women)
*********
- Honey Badger Cares (kids)
- Really Scary Xenophile (kids)
- Artichokey (all)
- The Formula for Success (men, women)

Cage Match short-sleeve t-shirts:
- Bun Bun (men)
- Cooler than You (kids)
- Easter Bunny (all)
- Emperor Penguin (all)
- In Addition to Your Radishes (all)
- Killer Penguin (men, women)
- Listen to Your Conscience (men)
- One Flight per Customer (all)
- Slow and Steady (kids)
- The Aviator (kids)
- Upon Closer Inspection (kids)



size specific update: the m2xl 'they're too short' that i got in today's mail is on anvil. other men's sizes may still be AA.

rockymike


quality posts: 16 Private Messages rockymike
ljwilke wrote:size specific update: the m2xl 'they're too short' that i got in today's mail is on anvil. other men's sizes may still be AA.



I also got my first Anvil shirt today in a 2XL. The length seemed fine to me, though I haven't ran it through the dryer yet.

My complaint is with the neck hole. I read that it was wide, but we're talking "drive a tractor trailer through it" wide. You shouldn't be able to see chest hair wearing any tee that's not a v-neck.

Yeah, so there's that...

cmillard1


quality posts: 6 Private Messages cmillard1
bounty42 wrote:Imma gonna disagree here.

I've been tracking Deltas on and off, that is the CHANGE in the DSR, and Narf's RealTime is Actually really accurate for ending position, barring last minute jockying.

See Narf's RT-DSR doesn't Take into account Opening Day, it only counts sales after midnight on Debut. And while this is a much smaller pool of days for Newbs (less than 14, typically 5-10) the numbers are still PURE. If you've got an RT-DSR of 20.35 your DSR at Close will be about 20. ...



I fully understand how the numbers are calculated, but you didn't fully comprehend my post (admittedly, I was pretty vague). The issue is that shirts debuting on later in the week (generally derby shirts, particularly Saturday and Sunday) will have inflated DSR rates to start due to the power law relationship of sales. Since sales immediately following debut day are heavily inflated and drop off RAPIDLY, their DSR values are NOT necessarily* indicative of where they will end up, so Honest Packaging (e.g.) might have appeared as a likely survivor based on initial DSR (~25), but there is very little chance it actually survives come Monday. People who only check the site 2 or 3 times a week might pass on a shirt that has very little chance of surviving because it appears as though it will survive.

EDIT: Just to be clear, I'd agree with you on Monday-Wednesday debuts, probably Thursday, and to an extent on Friday. Based on the (admittedly limited) numbers I've run, the power law curve "transition" seems to occur around day 4.

*Obviously, when a shirt sells 110 copies a day following debut (i.e. Lucky Pig), it's going to survive regardless. Even still, it only sold 107 copies combined on Tuesday and Wednesday because it's following a power law. Had Honest Packaging debuted on Sunday instead, its original position Tuesday at midnight would've been around 5th--and it's unlikely to survive.

bluejester


quality posts: 564 Private Messages bluejester

Happy Birthday Nevermore! I'm glad you pulled it off. 4 years is like forever in t-shirt years.

Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake

There went all the royal blue blanks ...

Legend: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting. Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers. DSR are for informational purposes only and not 100% accurate.
1 (1) Hungry Hungry Games - (+161) to 4689. Approx. 77.26 real time DSR; 61.83 Woot-based DSR
2 (4) Casual Friday - (+146) to 4697. Approx. 56.86 real time DSR; 40.96 Woot-based DSR
3 (2) Read - (+97) to 4466. Approx. 45.21 real time DSR; 37.86 Woot-based DSR
4 (3) Shhhhhhh - (+126) to 11070. Approx. 39.01 real time DSR; 34.14 Woot-based DSR
5 (17) Lucky Pig - (+144) to 2926. Approx. 63.43 real time DSR; 33.87 Woot-based DSR
6 (5) Lucky at last - (+47) to 8480. Approx. 32.4 real time DSR; 28.36 Woot-based DSR
7 (6) 1971-Floppy Diskette - (+87) to 8231. Approx. 32.08 real time DSR; 28.07 Woot-based DSR
8 (8) ProCATStination - (+63) to 3405. Approx. 31.05 real time DSR; 25.49 Woot-based DSR
9 (7) After All This Time - (+50) to 2692. Approx. 29.52 real time DSR; 24.93 Woot-based DSR
10 (11) The Start of Spring - (+61) to 2645. Approx. 31.9 real time DSR; 24.21 Woot-based DSR
11 (9) They’re too Short - (+61) to 2732. Approx. 27.51 real time DSR; 24.07 Woot-based DSR
12 (10) Curiosity - (+57) to 3418. Approx. 27.09 real time DSR; 23.06 Woot-based DSR
13 (13) The Binge - (+61) to 57025. Approx. 24.81 real time DSR; 21.71 Woot-based DSR
14 (12) WET||SLIPPERY WHEN - (+42) to 4548. Approx. 24.16 real time DSR; 21.14 Woot-based DSR
15 (14) Critical Hit - (+35) to 2760. Approx. 23.76 real time DSR; 20.37 Woot-based DSR
16 (15) Family Breakfast - (+68) to 14232. Approx. 22.49 real time DSR; 19.68 Woot-based DSR
17 (16) Nevermore - (+78) to 47415. Approx. 21.42 real time DSR; 18.75 Woot-based DSR
18 (23) My Morning Sidekick - (+60) to 2020. Approx. 28.48 real time DSR; 18 Woot-based DSR
19 (18) They See Me Rollin' - (+59) to 5176. Approx. 18.69 real time DSR; 16.36 Woot-based DSR
20 (19) Family Portrait - (+53) to 4927. Approx. 18.16 real time DSR; 15.89 Woot-based DSR
21 (20) Nyan's Dream - (+67) to 4136. Approx. 17.96 real time DSR; 15.71 Woot-based DSR
22 (24) Hang In There - (+55) to 1329. Approx. 19.89 real time DSR; 14.74 Woot-based DSR
23 (21) Pirate (space)ship - (+42) to 2181. Approx. 16.12 real time DSR; 14.11 Woot-based DSR
24 (22) Not Like The Others… - (+70) to 3293. Approx. 16.08 real time DSR; 14.07 Woot-based DSR
25 (26) Honest Packaging - (+43) to 1178. Approx. 18.58 real time DSR; 10.94 Woot-based DSR
26 (25) Free Hugs - (+27) to 1012. Approx. 15.42 real time DSR; 10.29 Woot-based DSR
27 (27) BLT: Together Forever - (+19) to 820. Approx. 9.12 real time DSR; 6.35 Woot-based DSR
91 (91) Honey Badger Cares - (+140) to 2475. Approx. 46.6 real time DSR; n/a Woot-based DSR
92 (92) Xenophile - (+187) to 2918. Approx. 93.31 real time DSR; n/a Woot-based DSR
93 (93) Artichokey - (+117) to 2692. Approx. 116.51 real time DSR; n/a Woot-based DSR
94 (94) The Formula For Success - 6001.

Hang In There is definitely hanging in there. It still has a change to make it out, but to be truly safe, it's going to need more sales. The rest ... not quite as likely.

cmillard1


quality posts: 6 Private Messages cmillard1
Narfcake wrote:There went all the royal blue blanks ...



The real question is whether they actually had 6000 AA blanks to print it on or whether people will get the reverse experience of my debut day purchase of Too Many Cooks (I got AA...)...

Narfcake


quality posts: 287 Private Messages Narfcake
rockymike wrote:My complaint is with the neck hole. I read that it was wide, but we're talking "drive a tractor trailer through it" wide. You shouldn't be able to see chest hair wearing any tee that's not a v-neck.


I can only imagine. As it is, the Anvil ML is cut as wide as an AA M3XL.