WootBot


quality posts: 15 Private Messages WootBot

Staff

Time again for another march toward t-shirt doom! Discuss this week's life-or-death struggle for sales supremacy as chronicled on the Reckoning page all week long.

Here's how the Reckoning week runs now: every Tuesday at midnight, we retire the previous week's lowest-selling shirts and launch this here discussion thread. Tuesday around noon we'll post the all-new, all-early Reckoning Recon. On Friday, we'll juice demand and prime the pump with a little weekend reminder post. Finally, on the following Monday, the Day of Reckoning post sounds the last call for the Reckoned shirts. All of those posts will be linked below. Monday night (or Tuesday morning), it starts all over again. The Reckoning, she is a hungry beast...



Quality Posts


neuropsychosocial


quality posts: 171 Private Messages neuropsychosocial

Congratulations to this week's new veterans, the remaining members of the Class of 262: Wishful Thinking, House of Malcontent, Not what I meant, and Curiosity. Of course, a shirt's fifth week on the Reckoning, when it loses its first week of sales, are always dangerous for a shirt: last week, we lost two of three new veterans. This week, will the new veterans be able to break that streak and survive?

Legend: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting . Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers.
1 (1) Wishful Thinking - (+0) to 5427
2 (2) The Cat in the Box - (+0) to 4112
3 (3) Unstealthiest Ninja 3 4 - (+0) to 8478
4 (4) House of Malcontent - (+0) to 3076
5 (5) Not what I meant - (+0) to 2067
6 (6) Curiosity - (+0) to 2461
7 (7) The Elemental Eatery - (+0) to 3391
8 (8) The Binge - (+0) to 60833
9 (9) The Sword from the Inkwell - (+0) to 2875
10 (10) Nevermore - (+0) to 50621
11 (11) The Formula For Success - (+0) to 13405
12 (12) Cats Resume - (+0) to 6466
13 (13) Shhhhhhh - (+0) to 14730
14 (14) Aww and Order - (+0) to 1512
15 (15) Heavy Lifting - (+0) to 1862
16 (16) The Mrowr - (+0) to 2417
17 (17) I Love Science - (+0) to 5804
18 (18) As You Wish - (+0) to 5418
19 (19) Join the Security Team! - (+0) to 1246
20 (20) Two Fish, One Line - (+0) to 1811
21 (21) Seahorse - (+0) to 1272
22 (22) Let it Tea - (+0) to 1306
23 (23) You Only Live x 1 - (+0) to 1411
24 (24) LHC Cafe - (+0) to 1617
25 (25) Salvage Title - (+0) to 713
26 (26) The Green Door - (+0) to 1181
27 (27) The Offering - (+0) to 589

Edit 09/11/2012, 9PM woot time: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting. Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers. DSR are for informational purposes only and not 100% accurate.
1 (1) Wishful Thinking - (+72) to 5499. Approx. 51.51 real time DSR; 40.21 Woot-based DSR
2 (2) The Cat in the Box - (+100) to 4212. Approx. 82.45 real time DSR; 38.43 Woot-based DSR
3 (3) Unstealthiest Ninja 3 4 - (+36) to 8514
4 (4) House of Malcontent - (+31) to 3107
5 (5) Not what I meant - (+20) to 2087
6 (6) Curiosity - (+22) to 2483
7 (7) The Elemental Eatery - (+18) to 3409. Approx. 21.43 real time DSR; 15.83 Woot-based DSR
8 (8) The Binge - (+31) to 60864. Approx. 18.07 real time DSR; 14.11 Woot-based DSR
9 (9) The Sword from the Inkwell - (+30) to 2905
10 (10) Nevermore - (+29) to 50650
11 (11) The Formula For Success - (+15) to 13420
12 (12) Cats Resume - (+18) to 6484
13 (13) Shhhhhhh - (+24) to 14754
14 (17) I Love Science - (+29) to 5833
15 (14) Aww and Order - (+12) to 1524. Approx. 17.81 real time DSR; 12.21 Woot-based DSR
16 (15) Heavy Lifting - (+13) to 1875. Approx. 17.13 real time DSR; 12 Woot-based DSR
17 (16) The Mrowr - (+14) to 2431
18 (18) As You Wish - (+20) to 5438. Approx. 13.27 real time DSR; 10.36 Woot-based DSR
19 (19) Join the Security Team! - (+13) to 1259. Approx. 16.99 real time DSR; 11.03 Woot-based DSR
20 (20) Two Fish, One Line - (+17) to 1828. Approx. 16.6 real time DSR; 10.42 Woot-based DSR
21 (21) Seahorse - (+18) to 1290. Approx. 16.88 real time DSR; 10.19 Woot-based DSR
22 (22) Let it Tea - (+24) to 1330. Approx. 38.54 real time DSR; 10.71 Woot-based DSR
23 (26) The Green Door - (+42) to 1223. Approx. 55.84 real time DSR; 10.13 Woot-based DSR
24 (23) You Only Live x 1 - (+18) to 1429. Approx. 19.95 real time DSR; 8.29 Woot-based DSR
25 (24) LHC Cafe - (+19) to 1636. Approx. 22.61 real time DSR; 8 Woot-based DSR
26 (25) Salvage Title - (+6) to 719. Approx. 9.65 real time DSR; 5.26 Woot-based DSR
27 (27) The Offering - (+9) to 598. Approx. 9.75 real time DSR; 4.96 Woot-based DSR
91 (91) Noah's Grill - (+70) to 2389. Approx. 193.85 real time DSR; n/a Woot-based DSR

RIP A.A. Blanks (Obituary)

tjost


quality posts: 25 Private Messages tjost
neuropsychosocial wrote:Congratulations to this week's new veterans, the remaining members of the Class of 262: Wishful Thinking, House of Malcontent, Not what I meant, and Curiosity. Of course, a shirt's fifth week on the Reckoning, when it loses its first week of sales, are always dangerous for a shirt: last week, we lost two of three new veterans. This week, will the new veterans be able to break that streak and survive?

Legend: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting . Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers.
1 (1) Wishful Thinking - (+0) to 5427
2 (2) The Cat in the Box - (+0) to 4112
3 (3) Unstealthiest Ninja 3 4 - (+0) to 8478
4 (4) House of Malcontent - (+0) to 3076
5 (5) Not what I meant - (+0) to 2067
6 (6) Curiosity - (+0) to 2461
7 (7) The Elemental Eatery - (+0) to 3391
8 (8) The Binge - (+0) to 60833
9 (9) The Sword from the Inkwell - (+0) to 2875
10 (10) Nevermore - (+0) to 50621
11 (11) The Formula For Success - (+0) to 13405
12 (12) Cats Resume - (+0) to 6466
13 (13) Shhhhhhh - (+0) to 14730
14 (14) Aww and Order - (+0) to 1512
15 (15) Heavy Lifting - (+0) to 1862
16 (16) The Mrowr - (+0) to 2417
17 (17) I Love Science - (+0) to 5804
18 (18) As You Wish - (+0) to 5418
19 (19) Join the Security Team! - (+0) to 1246
20 (20) Two Fish, One Line - (+0) to 1811
21 (21) Seahorse - (+0) to 1272
22 (22) Let it Tea - (+0) to 1306
23 (23) You Only Live x 1 - (+0) to 1411
24 (24) LHC Cafe - (+0) to 1617
25 (25) Salvage Title - (+0) to 713
26 (26) The Green Door - (+0) to 1181
27 (27) The Offering - (+0) to 589



Um I think your numbers are a little off for tonight, binge is around 60847 and as you wish is 5427. Were are you pulling the numbers from?

neuropsychosocial


quality posts: 171 Private Messages neuropsychosocial
tjost wrote:Um I think your numbers are a little off for tonight, binge is around 60847 and as you wish is 5427. Were are you pulling the numbers from?

My post was just baseline numbers for the week; those are literally the baseline numbers for the week (or at least the best baseline numbers that I have). Updated sales and DSRs tomorrow!

RIP A.A. Blanks (Obituary)

neuropsychosocial


quality posts: 171 Private Messages neuropsychosocial

1) Initial post in this thread edited to include sales and DSRs as of 9:00PM woot time.
2) Those are the final numbers that I'll be posting for a while; whether disease or treatment, even rudimentary math has become increasingly challenging and I need to acknowledge that this is beyond my current limits. For a variety of reasons, I hope that changes - and soon!
3) In response to citizencoyote's post in the last Reckoning thread:
Reckoning 213
First day sales: 12444
Post-first-day sales: 4724
Reckoning 265
First day sales: 10242
Post-first-day sales: 3579
Woot Plus sales: 1366 (see this post for caveats)

RIP A.A. Blanks (Obituary)

citizencoyote


quality posts: 42 Private Messages citizencoyote
neuropsychosocial wrote:1) Initial post in this thread edited to include sales and DSRs as of 9:00PM woot time.
2) Those are the final numbers that I'll be posting for a while; whether disease or treatment, even rudimentary math has become increasingly challenging and I need to acknowledge that this is beyond my current limits. For a variety of reasons, I hope that changes - and soon!
3) In response to citizencoyote's post in the last Reckoning thread:
Reckoning 213
First day sales: 12444
Post-first-day sales: 4724
Reckoning 265
First day sales: 10242
Post-first-day sales: 3579
Woot Plus sales: 1366 (see this post for caveats)



So assuming those numbers represent discrete sales (i.e., the first day sales are separate from the post-first day sales), shirt.woot sold a little less than 2000 fewer shirts this year than at this time last year.

Is that enough to account for the difference in DSR numbers? Is it a trend or a one-off? We only have imperfect sales data to play with, but it does suggest that all these changes over the past six months have exerted downward pressure on sales.

I think the real indicator will be the holidays. Last year saw some absolutely crazy weeks, we'll see what happens this time around.

neuropsychosocial


quality posts: 171 Private Messages neuropsychosocial

Legend: Current rank (Baseline rank) Shirt Name - (Additional sales) and total quantity as of this posting. Refer to the beginning of this reckoning for the baseline sales numbers. DSR are for informational purposes only and not 100% accurate. Not all shirts have DSRs: there was a Wreckoning.
1 (2) The Cat in the Box - (+374) to 4486. Approx. 67.59 real time DSR; 62.26 Woot-based DSR
2 (1) Wishful Thinking - (+297) to 5724. Approx. 49.86 real time DSR; 48.25 Woot-based DSR
3 (3) Unstealthiest Ninja 3 4 - (+165) to 8643
4 (4) House of Malcontent - (+119) to 3195
5 (26) The Green Door - (+130) to 1311. Approx. 24.87 real time DSR; 21.87 Woot-based DSR
6 (8) The Binge - (+134) to 60967. Approx. 18.38 real time DSR; 17.79 Woot-based DSR
7 (5) Not what I meant - (+94) to 2161
8 (6) Curiosity - (+94) to 2555
9 (7) The Elemental Eatery - (+88) to 3479. Approx. 19.56 real time DSR; 18.81 Woot-based DSR
10 (10) Nevermore - (+139) to 50760
11 (9) The Sword from the Inkwell - (+120) to 2995
12 (22) Let it Tea - (+90) to 1396. Approx. 20.67 real time DSR; 18.47 Woot-based DSR
13 (11) The Formula For Success - (+88) to 13493
14 (12) Cats Resume - (+84) to 6550
15 (13) Shhhhhhh - (+99) to 14829
16 (17) I Love Science - (+103) to 5907
17 (16) The Mrowr - (+89) to 2506
18 (15) Heavy Lifting - (+68) to 1930. Approx. 15.36 real time DSR; 14.68 Woot-based DSR
19 (14) Aww and Order - (+58) to 1570. Approx. 15.27 real time DSR; 14.56 Woot-based DSR
20 (18) As You Wish - (+94) to 5512. Approx. 13.43 real time DSR; 13 Woot-based DSR
21 (20) Two Fish, One Line - (+80) to 1891. Approx. 15.07 real time DSR; 14.24 Woot-based DSR
22 (19) Join the Security Team! - (+64) to 1310. Approx. 14.7 real time DSR; 13.94 Woot-based DSR
23 (24) LHC Cafe - (+80) to 1697. Approx. 15.94 real time DSR; 14.42 Woot-based DSR
24 (21) Seahorse - (+61) to 1333. Approx. 13.77 real time DSR; 12.97 Woot-based DSR
25 (23) You Only Live x 1 - (+67) to 1478. Approx. 14.18 real time DSR; 12.95 Woot-based DSR
26 (25) Salvage Title - (+41) to 754. Approx. 8.42 real time DSR; 7.85 Woot-based DSR
27 (27) The Offering - (+60) to 649. Approx. 9.75 real time DSR; 9.04 Woot-based DSR

RIP A.A. Blanks (Obituary)

neuropsychosocial


quality posts: 171 Private Messages neuropsychosocial

I think the Woot Plus sales that I pulled must be inaccurate; they simply don't make sense. Did any of the artists receive a tracker that might verify whether any of those numbers are vaguely accurate?

citizencoyote wrote:So assuming those numbers represent discrete sales (i.e., the first day sales are separate from the post-first day sales), shirt.woot sold a little less than 2000 fewer shirts this year than at this time last year.

Yes, discrete sales (with thanks to Narfcake who sent me his historical spreadsheet, so I didn't need to retype the data from a year ago).

We only have imperfect sales data to play with, but it does suggest that all these changes over the past six months have exerted downward pressure on sales.

I think the real indicator will be the holidays. Last year saw some absolutely crazy weeks, we'll see what happens this time around.

I agree on both counts; I think we'll need to compare holiday sales to get a sense of whether sales will rebound. I wish that we had more accurate Woot Plus sales, including sales figures for the non-shirt items, because it's possible that expenditures are being redirected from the Reckoning to Woot Plus.

RIP A.A. Blanks (Obituary)

wirdou


quality posts: 16 Private Messages wirdou

I Love Science is accurate Neuro, that's all I can say hahah Thanks for the update!:D

MrsBones


quality posts: 1 Private Messages MrsBones

Dear WootBot,

Just so you know, it's actually the 17th. FYI.

If I'm to keep buying shirts, I need MXS! Please add my size!

citizencoyote


quality posts: 42 Private Messages citizencoyote
MrsBones wrote:Dear WootBot,

Just so you know, it's actually the 17th. FYI.



As someone pointed out last week, the date has been a day off since the website redesign. Time for a beta bug report?

Except we have a new problem. The beta feedback button no longer seems to work. Help us TT, you're our only hope!

neuropsychosocial


quality posts: 171 Private Messages neuropsychosocial

Closing numbers from 12:15 woot time:

1 (2) The Cat in the Box - (+388) to 4500
2 (1) Wishful Thinking - (+313) to 5740
3 (3) Unstealthiest Ninja 3 4 - (+175) to 8653
4 (4) House of Malcontent - (+125) to 3201
5 (26) The Green Door - (+136) to 1317
6 (8) The Binge - (+144) to 60977
7 (5) Not what I meant - (+101) to 2168
8 (6) Curiosity - (+99) to 2560
9 (7) The Elemental Eatery - (+93) to 3484
10 (10) Nevermore - (+144) to 50765
11 (9) The Sword from the Inkwell - (+124) to 2999
12 (22) Let it Tea - (+93) to 1399
13 (11) The Formula For Success - (+90) to 13495
14 (12) Cats Resume - (+91) to 6557
15 (13) Shhhhhhh - (+102) to 14832
16 (17) I Love Science - (+108) to 5912
17 (16) The Mrowr - (+93) to 2510
18 (15) Heavy Lifting - (+74) to 1936
19 (14) Aww and Order - (+60) to 1572
20 (18) As You Wish - (+99) to 5517
21 (20) Two Fish, One Line - (+86) to 1897
22 (19) Join the Security Team! - (+68) to 1314
23 (24) LHC Cafe - (+88) to 1705
24 (21) Seahorse - (+62) to 1334
25 (23) You Only Live x 1 - (+69) to 1480
26 (25) Salvage Title - (+45) to 758
27 (27) The Offering - (+66) to 655
91 (91) Noah's Grill - (+185) to 2504
92 (92) Troubled Waters - (+200) to 1872
93 (93) Lose Yourself - (+136) to 1950
94 (94) Darkness Anymore - (+87) to 1689
95 (95) Friends, Romans, aedlrjqaewoif - (+72) to 1598
96 (96) Creative Flow - (+33) to 557
97 (97) Nature Owl - (+24) to 1225

RIP A.A. Blanks (Obituary)

TheGolux


quality posts: 6 Private Messages TheGolux

And this week I got the numbers at noon woot time and my numbers are the same as neuro's.

How can we account for the Woot Plus sales and how they have had an impact on the Reckoning?

terrariageek


quality posts: 0 Private Messages terrariageek

Glad Cat in the Box made it to the top. Good idea for a shirt, and masterfully executed.

escapecar


quality posts: 16 Private Messages escapecar

I do believe there's a Wootoff starting at midnight tonight.

So be alert. America needs more Lerts.